FXテクニカル分析＆業者比較Blog

Sun Jun 26
All Day    EUR    Spanish Parliamentary Election スペイン議会選挙
→日本時間6/27 朝に大勢が判明する見通し

→未来レートの反応は？

                
Tue Jun 28
21:30    USD    Final GDP q/q
23:00    USD    CB Consumer Confidence 消費者信頼感指数

Wed Jun 29
All Day    EUR    Italian Bank Holiday
23:30    USD    Crude Oil Inventories 原油在庫統計

Thu Jun 30
17:30    GBP    Current Account 経常収支
21:30    CAD    GDP
USD    Unemployment Claims 失業保険申請件数

Fri Jul 1
10:00    CNY   Manufacturing PMI 製造業景況指数
10:45    CNY   Caixin Manufacturing PMI 財新・製造業景況指数
17:30    GBP    Manufacturing PMI 製造業景況指数
All Day    CAD    Bank Holiday トロント休場(建国記念日)
23:00    USD    ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM製造業景況指数

参考：Forex Calendar @ Forex Factory（日本時間はGMT+9、DST OFF）

Tue Jun 21
10:30    AUD    Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes RBA議事録
Tentative    EUR  German Constitutional Court Ruling （ドイツ憲法裁判所が欧州中央銀行（ＥＣＢ）の債券買い入れ策の合憲性をめぐる判断を下す。）
18:00    EUR    German ZEW Economic Sentiment ZEW景況感調査
23:00    USD    Fed Chair Yellen Testifies イエレン議会証言
  

Wed  Jun 22
21:30    CAD    Core Retail Sales 小売売上高
23:00    USD    Fed Chair Yellen Testifies イエレン議会証言
23:30    USD    Crude Oil Inventories 原油在庫統計

  

Thu  Jun 23
All Day    GBP    EU Membership Vote イギリスEU離脱国民投票（EU終わりの始まりとなるのか）
21:30    USD    Unemployment Claims 失業保険申請件数
  

Fri  Jun 24
17:00    EUR    German Ifo Business Climate IFO景況指数
21:30    USD    Core Durable Goods Orders 耐久財受注

参考：Forex Calendar @ Forex Factory（日本時間はGMT+9、DST OFF）

Press Release

Release Date: June 15, 2016

For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April indicates that the pace of improvement in the labor market has slowed while growth in economic activity appears to have picked up. Although the unemployment rate has declined, job gains have diminished. Growth in household spending has strengthened. Since the beginning of the year, the housing sector has continued to improve and the drag from net exports appears to have lessened, but business fixed investment has been soft. Inflation has continued to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting earlier declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation declined; most survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee currently expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market indicators will strengthen. Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term, in part because of earlier declines in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of past declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments.

Against this backdrop, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. （0.25～0.50%金利据え置き） The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Esther L. George; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo.（全会一致。利上げ主張の委員は今回はナシ）

Mon Jun 13
All Day    AUD    Bank Holiday
11:00    CNY    Industrial Production y/y
 

Tue Jun 14
17:30    GBP    CPI y/y
21:30    USD    Core Retail Sales m/m
  

Wed Jun 15
17:30    GBP    Average Earnings Index 3m/y
GBP    Claimant Count Change
21:30    CAD    Manufacturing Sales m/m
USD    PPI m/m
23:30    USD    Crude Oil Inventories
 

Thu Jun 16
Tentative    NZD    GDT Price Index
3:00    USD    FOMC Economic Projections
USD    FOMC Statement
USD    Federal Funds Rate
3:30    USD    FOMC Press Conference

7:45    NZD    GDP q/q
8:55    CAD    BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
10:30    AUD    Employment Change
AUD    Unemployment Rate
Tentative    JPY    Monetary Policy Statement
Tentative    JPY    BOJ Press Conference

16:30    CHF    Libor Rate
CHF    SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
CHF    SNB Press Conference
17:30    GBP    Retail Sales m/m
20:00    GBP    MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
GBP    Monetary Policy Summary
GBP    Official Bank Rate
21:30    USD    CPI m/m
USD    Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
USD    Unemployment Claims
 

Fri Jun 17
21:30    CAD   Core CPI m/m
USD    Building Permits
24:00    EUR    ECB President Draghi Speaks

参考：Forex Calendar @ Forex Factory（日本時間はGMT+9、DST OFF）

Sun Jun 5
1:55    CAD    BOC Gov Poloz Speaks

Mon  Jun 6
All Day    NZD    Bank Holiday NZ休場(女王誕生日)
   

Tue  Jun 7
1:30    USD    Fed Chair Yellen Speaks イエレン発言

13:30    AUD    Cash Rate RBAキャッシュターゲット
  AUD    RBA Rate Statement
  

Wed Jun 8
Tentative    CNY    Trade Balance 貿易収支
17:30    GBP    Manufacturing Production 鉱工業生産 
23:30    USD    Crude Oil Inventories 原油在庫統計
   

Thu Jun 9
6:00    NZD    Official Cash Rate RBNZオフィシャル・キャッシュレート
NZD    RBNZ Rate Statement
8:00    NZD    RBNZ Press Conference
All Day    CNY    Bank Holiday 香港、上海休場(端午節)
10:10    NZD    RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks
16:00    EUR    ECB President Draghi Speaks ドラギ発言
21:30    USD    Unemployment Claims 失業保険申請件数
   

Fri Jun 10
0:15    CAD    BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
All Day    CNY    Bank Holiday 香港、上海休場(端午節)
21:30    CAD    Employment Change 雇用者数変化
CAD    Unemployment Rate 失業率
23:00    USD    Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment ミシガン大消費者信頼感指数

参考：Forex Calendar @ Forex Factory（日本時間はGMT+9、DST OFF）